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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Spezia Win
31%
3.25
34%
2.96
35%
2.82
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
13.7%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
13.5%
Draw
0 – 0
12.8%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.98
Sudtirol xG
Total xG
2.06
1.07
Spezia xG
SudtirolDrawSpezia
3.25
31%
Home win
2.96
34%
Draw
2.82
35%
Away win
Goals Markets
61%
Over 1.5
1.64
39%
Under 1.5
2.56
34%
Over 2.5
2.94
66%
Under 2.5
1.52
15%
Over 3.5
6.67
85%
Under 3.5
1.18
6%
Over 4.5
16.67
94%
Under 4.5
1.06
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
43%
BTTS Yes
2.33
57%
BTTS No
1.75
Clean Sheet
34%
2.93
37%
2.68
Win to Nil
10%
9.53
13%
7.54
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12.8 | 13.7 | 7.4 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 12.6 | 13.5 | 7.3 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 6.2 | 6.6 | 3.6 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.984
λ Away (xG)
1.075
Total xG
2.059
League avg home goals
1.313
League avg away goals
1.037
Sudtirol attack strength
0.736
Sudtirol defence strength
1.021
Spezia attack strength
1.015
Spezia defence strength
1.018
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
56 / 56