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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Spezia Win
21%
4.71
30%
3.30
48%
2.06
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
14.0%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.4%
Draw
0 – 2
10.1%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.89
Sudtirol xG
Total xG
2.34
1.45
Spezia xG
SudtirolDrawSpezia
4.71
21%
Home win
3.30
30%
Draw
2.06
48%
Away win
Goals Markets
68%
Over 1.5
1.47
32%
Under 1.5
3.12
41%
Over 2.5
2.44
59%
Under 2.5
1.69
21%
Over 3.5
4.76
79%
Under 3.5
1.27
9%
Over 4.5
11.11
91%
Under 4.5
1.10
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
47%
BTTS Yes
2.13
53%
BTTS No
1.88
Clean Sheet
23%
4.26
41%
2.43
Win to Nil
5%
20.06
20%
5.02
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.7 | 14.0 | 10.1 | 4.9 | 1.8 | 0.5 |
| 1 | 8.6 | 12.4 | 9.0 | 4.4 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| 2 | 3.8 | 5.5 | 4.0 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | – | 0.1 | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.888
λ Away (xG)
1.450
Total xG
2.338
League avg home goals
1.209
League avg away goals
1.104
Sudtirol attack strength
1.017
Sudtirol defence strength
1.180
Spezia attack strength
1.112
Spezia defence strength
0.722
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
65 / 65