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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sat 27 Sep 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Marco Druso

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sudtirol Win

38%

Sudtirol

2.67

35%

Draw

2.88

28%

Reggiana

3.60

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.3%

Home win

0 – 1

9.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.33

Sudtirol xG

Total xG

2.47

1.13

Reggiana xG

38%
35%
28%
SudtirolDrawReggiana

2.67

38%

Home win

2.88

35%

Draw

3.60

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.86

46%

BTTS No

2.16

Clean Sheet

32%

Sudtirol

3.10

26%

Reggiana

3.80

Win to Nil

12%

Sudtirol

8.26

7%

Reggiana

13.69

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.5 9.6 5.4 2.0 0.6 0.1
1 11.3 12.8 7.3 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 7.6 8.6 4.8 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 3.4 3.8 2.2 0.8 0.2 0.1
4 1.1 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.335
λ Away (xG) 1.131
Total xG 2.466
League avg home goals 1.282
League avg away goals 1.140
Sudtirol attack strength 1.034
Sudtirol defence strength 1.063
Reggiana attack strength 0.934
Reggiana defence strength 1.008
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 42 / 42