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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sun 25 Jan 2026

14:00

Venue

Stadio Marco Druso

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sudtirol Win

37%

Sudtirol

2.68

33%

Draw

3.04

30%

Padova

3.35

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

16.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

15.9%

Home win

0 – 1

13.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.97

Sudtirol xG

Total xG

1.81

0.84

Padova xG

37%
33%
30%
SudtirolDrawPadova

2.68

37%

Home win

3.04

33%

Draw

3.35

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

54%

Over 1.5

1.85

46%

Under 1.5

2.17

27%

Over 2.5

3.70

73%

Under 2.5

1.37

11%

Over 3.5

9.09

89%

Under 3.5

1.12

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

36%

BTTS Yes

2.82

64%

BTTS No

1.55

Clean Sheet

43%

Sudtirol

2.31

38%

Padova

2.65

Win to Nil

16%

Sudtirol

6.21

11%

Padova

8.88

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.3 13.7 5.7 1.6 0.3 0.1
1 15.9 13.3 5.6 1.6 0.3 0.1
2 7.7 6.5 2.7 0.8 0.2
3 2.5 2.1 0.9 0.2 0.1
4 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.975
λ Away (xG) 0.839
Total xG 1.814
League avg home goals 1.280
League avg away goals 1.038
Sudtirol attack strength 0.851
Sudtirol defence strength 1.026
Padova attack strength 0.788
Padova defence strength 0.896
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 20