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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Spezia Win
48%
2.07
30%
3.31
22%
4.65
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
16.4%
Home win
Most likely
0 – 0
12.7%
Draw
1 – 1
12.6%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.30
Spezia xG
Total xG
2.07
0.77
Virtus Entella xG
SpeziaDrawVirtus Entella
2.07
48%
Home win
3.31
30%
Draw
4.65
22%
Away win
Goals Markets
61%
Over 1.5
1.64
39%
Under 1.5
2.56
34%
Over 2.5
2.94
66%
Under 2.5
1.52
16%
Over 3.5
6.25
84%
Under 3.5
1.19
6%
Over 4.5
16.67
94%
Under 4.5
1.06
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
40%
BTTS Yes
2.52
60%
BTTS No
1.66
Clean Sheet
46%
2.16
27%
3.65
Win to Nil
22%
4.48
6%
16.99
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12.7 | 9.8 | 3.8 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 16.4 | 12.6 | 4.9 | 1.3 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 10.6 | 8.2 | 3.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 4.6 | 3.5 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.296
λ Away (xG)
0.771
Total xG
2.067
League avg home goals
1.296
League avg away goals
1.048
Spezia attack strength
0.819
Spezia defence strength
1.069
Virtus Entella attack strength
0.688
Virtus Entella defence strength
1.221
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
60 / 22