Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sat 14 Feb 2026

14:00

Venue

Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sampdoria Win

51%

Sampdoria

1.97

26%

Draw

3.92

24%

Padova

4.23

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.6%

Home win

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.69

Sampdoria xG

Total xG

2.77

1.08

Padova xG

51%
26%
24%
SampdoriaDrawPadova

1.97

51%

Home win

3.92

26%

Draw

4.23

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.83

45%

BTTS No

2.20

Clean Sheet

34%

Sampdoria

2.95

18%

Padova

5.41

Win to Nil

17%

Sampdoria

5.80

4%

Padova

22.88

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3 6.8 3.7 1.3 0.4 0.1
1 10.6 11.4 6.2 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 8.9 9.7 5.2 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 5.0 5.4 2.9 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 2.1 2.3 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.688
λ Away (xG) 1.082
Total xG 2.770
League avg home goals 1.278
League avg away goals 1.060
Sampdoria attack strength 1.098
Sampdoria defence strength 1.103
Padova attack strength 0.925
Padova defence strength 1.203
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 24