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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sat 22 Feb 2025

14:00

Venue

MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Reggiana Win

44%

Reggiana

2.27

35%

Draw

2.89

21%

Carrarese

4.69

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.9%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.1%

Draw

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.20

Reggiana xG

Total xG

1.96

0.76

Carrarese xG

44%
35%
21%
ReggianaDrawCarrarese

2.27

44%

Home win

2.89

35%

Draw

4.69

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

58%

Over 1.5

1.72

42%

Under 1.5

2.38

31%

Over 2.5

3.23

69%

Under 2.5

1.45

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.54

61%

BTTS No

1.65

Clean Sheet

47%

Reggiana

2.14

30%

Carrarese

3.31

Win to Nil

21%

Reggiana

4.85

6%

Carrarese

15.56

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.1 10.7 4.1 1.0 0.2
1 16.9 12.9 4.9 1.2 0.2
2 10.1 7.7 2.9 0.7 0.1
3 4.0 3.1 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 1.2 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.198
λ Away (xG) 0.761
Total xG 1.959
League avg home goals 1.246
League avg away goals 1.078
Reggiana attack strength 0.775
Reggiana defence strength 1.003
Carrarese attack strength 0.704
Carrarese defence strength 1.240
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 26