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Pisa vs Bari – Predictions

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Fri 13 Dec 2024

19:30

Venue

Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Pisa Win

38%

Pisa

2.61

34%

Draw

2.96

28%

Bari

3.59

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

0 – 0

11.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.19

Pisa xG

Total xG

2.17

0.98

Bari xG

38%
34%
28%
PisaDrawBari

2.61

38%

Home win

2.96

34%

Draw

3.59

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.18

54%

BTTS No

1.85

Clean Sheet

37%

Pisa

2.67

30%

Bari

3.28

Win to Nil

14%

Pisa

6.96

8%

Bari

11.79

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.4 11.2 5.5 1.8 0.4 0.1
1 13.6 13.3 6.5 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 8.1 7.9 3.9 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 3.2 3.1 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 1.0 0.9 0.5 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.189
λ Away (xG) 0.981
Total xG 2.170
League avg home goals 1.261
League avg away goals 1.110
Pisa attack strength 1.282
Pisa defence strength 0.920
Bari attack strength 0.961
Bari defence strength 0.735
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 54