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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sat 21 Feb 2026

14:00

Venue

Stadio Renzo Barbera

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Palermo Win

50%

Palermo

1.98

29%

Draw

3.42

20%

Sudtirol

4.92

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.8%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

12.6%

Draw

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.33

Palermo xG

Total xG

2.07

0.74

Sudtirol xG

50%
29%
20%
PalermoDrawSudtirol

1.98

50%

Home win

3.42

29%

Draw

4.92

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

61%

Over 1.5

1.64

39%

Under 1.5

2.56

34%

Over 2.5

2.94

66%

Under 2.5

1.52

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.57

61%

BTTS No

1.64

Clean Sheet

48%

Palermo

2.10

26%

Sudtirol

3.80

Win to Nil

24%

Palermo

4.16

5%

Sudtirol

18.68

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.6 9.3 3.4 0.8 0.2
1 16.8 12.4 4.6 1.1 0.2
2 11.2 8.3 3.1 0.8 0.1
3 5.0 3.7 1.4 0.3 0.1
4 1.7 1.2 0.5 0.1
5 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.334
λ Away (xG) 0.740
Total xG 2.074
League avg home goals 1.260
League avg away goals 1.070
Palermo attack strength 1.303
Palermo defence strength 0.789
Sudtirol attack strength 0.877
Sudtirol defence strength 0.812
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 63