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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Sat 29 Nov 2025

18:30

Venue

Stadio Renzo Barbera

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Palermo Win

46%

Palermo

2.19

29%

Draw

3.42

25%

Carrarese

4.00

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.47

Palermo xG

Total xG

2.51

1.03

Carrarese xG

46%
29%
25%
PalermoDrawCarrarese

2.19

46%

Home win

3.42

29%

Draw

4.00

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.95

49%

BTTS No

2.05

Clean Sheet

36%

Palermo

2.82

23%

Carrarese

4.37

Win to Nil

16%

Palermo

6.16

6%

Carrarese

17.46

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.1 8.4 4.4 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 12.0 12.4 6.4 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 8.8 9.1 4.7 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 4.3 4.5 2.3 0.8 0.2
4 1.6 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.474
λ Away (xG) 1.035
Total xG 2.509
League avg home goals 1.346
League avg away goals 1.063
Palermo attack strength 1.039
Palermo defence strength 0.899
Carrarese attack strength 1.082
Carrarese defence strength 1.054
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 51