Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Tue 13 May 2025

19:30

Venue

Stadio Renzo Barbera

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Palermo Win

60%

Palermo

1.67

24%

Draw

4.16

16%

Carrarese

6.27

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.0%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.3%

Home win

1 – 1

10.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.88

Palermo xG

Total xG

2.75

0.87

Carrarese xG

60%
24%
16%
PalermoDrawCarrarese

1.67

60%

Home win

4.16

24%

Draw

6.27

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.99

50%

BTTS No

2.01

Clean Sheet

42%

Palermo

2.39

15%

Carrarese

6.53

Win to Nil

25%

Palermo

3.98

2%

Carrarese

40.96

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.4 5.6 2.4 0.7 0.2
1 12.0 10.5 4.6 1.3 0.3 0.1
2 11.3 9.8 4.3 1.2 0.3
3 7.1 6.2 2.7 0.8 0.2
4 3.3 2.9 1.3 0.4 0.1
5 1.2 1.1 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.877
λ Away (xG) 0.872
Total xG 2.749
League avg home goals 1.309
League avg away goals 1.160
Palermo attack strength 1.192
Palermo defence strength 1.048
Carrarese attack strength 0.717
Carrarese defence strength 1.202
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 75 / 37