Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Fri 26 Dec 2025

16:15

Venue

Stadio Alberto Braglia

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Modena Win

36%

Modena

2.75

31%

Draw

3.24

33%

Monza

3.05

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.4%

Home win

0 – 1

10.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.22

Modena xG

Total xG

2.37

1.15

Monza xG

36%
31%
33%
ModenaDrawMonza

2.75

36%

Home win

3.24

31%

Draw

3.05

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.01

50%

BTTS No

1.99

Clean Sheet

32%

Modena

3.15

29%

Monza

3.39

Win to Nil

12%

Modena

8.67

10%

Monza

10.36

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.3 10.7 6.2 2.4 0.7 0.2
1 11.4 13.1 7.5 2.9 0.8 0.2
2 7.0 8.0 4.6 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 2.8 3.3 1.9 0.7 0.2
4 0.9 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.222
λ Away (xG) 1.148
Total xG 2.370
League avg home goals 1.338
League avg away goals 1.070
Modena attack strength 1.012
Modena defence strength 0.999
Monza attack strength 1.074
Monza defence strength 0.902
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 17