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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sat 1 Feb 2025

16:15

Venue

Stadio Alberto Braglia

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Modena Win

43%

Modena

2.33

31%

Draw

3.22

26%

Mantova

3.85

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.5%

Home win

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.45

Modena xG

Total xG

2.53

1.09

Mantova xG

43%
31%
26%
ModenaDrawMantova

2.33

43%

Home win

3.22

31%

Draw

3.85

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.89

47%

BTTS No

2.13

Clean Sheet

34%

Modena

2.96

24%

Mantova

4.25

Win to Nil

15%

Modena

6.89

6%

Mantova

16.34

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.9 8.6 4.7 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 11.5 12.5 6.8 2.5 0.7 0.1
2 8.3 9.0 4.9 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 4.0 4.4 2.4 0.9 0.2 0.1
4 1.4 1.6 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.446
λ Away (xG) 1.086
Total xG 2.532
League avg home goals 1.224
League avg away goals 1.122
Modena attack strength 0.949
Modena defence strength 0.929
Mantova attack strength 1.041
Mantova defence strength 1.245
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 23