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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Quarter-finals

Kick-off

Tue 12 May 2026

17:45

Venue

Stadio Alberto Braglia

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Modena Win

46%

Modena

2.19

30%

Draw

3.33

24%

Juve Stabia

4.13

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

0 – 0

9.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.41

Modena xG

Total xG

2.37

0.96

Juve Stabia xG

46%
30%
24%
ModenaDrawJuve Stabia

2.19

46%

Home win

3.33

30%

Draw

4.13

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.08

52%

BTTS No

1.93

Clean Sheet

38%

Modena

2.61

25%

Juve Stabia

4.08

Win to Nil

17%

Modena

5.72

6%

Juve Stabia

16.83

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.4 9.0 4.3 1.4 0.3 0.1
1 13.2 12.7 6.1 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.3 8.9 4.3 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 4.3 4.2 2.0 0.6 0.2
4 1.5 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.405
λ Away (xG) 0.961
Total xG 2.366
League avg home goals 1.405
League avg away goals 1.076
Modena attack strength 0.963
Modena defence strength 0.985
Juve Stabia attack strength 0.907
Juve Stabia defence strength 1.039
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 76 / 76