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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sat 14 Feb 2026

14:00

Venue

Stadio Alberto Braglia

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Modena Win

49%

Modena

2.06

27%

Draw

3.76

25%

Carrarese

4.02

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.3%

Home win

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.57

Modena xG

Total xG

2.63

1.06

Carrarese xG

49%
27%
25%
ModenaDrawCarrarese

2.06

49%

Home win

3.76

27%

Draw

4.02

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.90

47%

BTTS No

2.11

Clean Sheet

35%

Modena

2.89

21%

Carrarese

4.83

Win to Nil

17%

Modena

5.95

5%

Carrarese

19.44

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.2 7.6 4.0 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 11.3 12.0 6.3 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 8.9 9.4 5.0 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 4.7 5.0 2.6 0.9 0.2 0.1
4 1.8 1.9 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.575
λ Away (xG) 1.060
Total xG 2.635
League avg home goals 1.278
League avg away goals 1.060
Modena attack strength 0.924
Modena defence strength 1.032
Carrarese attack strength 0.968
Carrarese defence strength 1.334
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 62