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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 38

Kick-off

Fri 14 May 2027

13:00

Venue

Stadio Alberto Braglia

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Modena Win

56%

Modena

1.79

26%

Draw

3.84

18%

Benevento

5.53

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

2 – 0

10.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.73

Modena xG

Total xG

2.62

0.89

Benevento xG

56%
26%
18%
ModenaDrawBenevento

1.79

56%

Home win

3.84

26%

Draw

5.53

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.01

50%

BTTS No

1.99

Clean Sheet

41%

Modena

2.44

18%

Benevento

5.62

Win to Nil

23%

Modena

4.37

3%

Benevento

31.06

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.3 6.5 2.9 0.9 0.2
1 12.6 11.2 5.0 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 10.9 9.7 4.3 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 6.2 5.6 2.5 0.7 0.2
4 2.7 2.4 1.1 0.3 0.1
5 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.726
λ Away (xG) 0.893
Total xG 2.619
League avg home goals 1.543
League avg away goals 1.071
Modena attack strength 0.973
Modena defence strength 0.981
Benevento attack strength 0.850
Benevento defence strength 1.150
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 0