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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Mon 6 Apr 2026

14:00

Venue

Stadio Danilo Martelli

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Mantova Win

63%

Mantova

1.60

25%

Draw

4.06

13%

Virtus Entella

7.86

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.1%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

13.0%

Home win

1 – 1

10.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.84

Mantova xG

Total xG

2.57

0.73

Virtus Entella xG

63%
25%
13%
MantovaDrawVirtus Entella

1.60

63%

Home win

4.06

25%

Draw

7.86

13%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.23

55%

BTTS No

1.81

Clean Sheet

48%

Mantova

2.07

16%

Virtus Entella

6.33

Win to Nil

30%

Mantova

3.30

2%

Virtus Entella

49.71

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.6 5.6 2.0 0.5 0.1
1 14.1 10.2 3.7 0.9 0.2
2 13.0 9.5 3.4 0.8 0.2
3 8.0 5.8 2.1 0.5 0.1
4 3.7 2.7 1.0 0.2
5 1.4 1.0 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.845
λ Away (xG) 0.727
Total xG 2.572
League avg home goals 1.380
League avg away goals 1.101
Mantova attack strength 1.094
Mantova defence strength 1.102
Virtus Entella attack strength 0.599
Virtus Entella defence strength 1.222
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 70 / 32