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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sat 21 Feb 2026

14:00

Venue

Stadio Danilo Martelli

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Mantova Win

38%

Mantova

2.62

27%

Draw

3.66

35%

Sampdoria

2.89

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.0%

Home win

0 – 1

9.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.33

Mantova xG

Total xG

2.59

1.25

Sampdoria xG

38%
27%
35%
MantovaDrawSampdoria

2.62

38%

Home win

3.66

27%

Draw

2.89

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.88

47%

BTTS No

2.13

Clean Sheet

29%

Mantova

3.51

26%

Sampdoria

3.78

Win to Nil

11%

Mantova

9.20

9%

Sampdoria

10.95

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.5 9.5 5.9 2.5 0.8 0.2
1 10.0 12.6 7.9 3.3 1.0 0.3
2 6.7 8.4 5.3 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 3.0 3.7 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.0 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.331
λ Away (xG) 1.255
Total xG 2.586
League avg home goals 1.260
League avg away goals 1.070
Mantova attack strength 1.034
Mantova defence strength 1.365
Sampdoria attack strength 0.859
Sampdoria defence strength 1.021
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 63