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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sat 20 Sep 2025

18:30

Venue

Stadio Danilo Martelli

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Draw

33%

Mantova

3.03

36%

Draw

2.80

31%

Modena

3.20

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.2%

Home win

0 – 1

10.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.20

Mantova xG

Total xG

2.37

1.17

Modena xG

33%
36%
31%
MantovaDrawModena

3.03

33%

Home win

2.80

36%

Draw

3.20

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.92

48%

BTTS No

2.09

Clean Sheet

31%

Mantova

3.21

30%

Modena

3.33

Win to Nil

10%

Mantova

9.73

9%

Modena

10.66

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.3 10.9 6.4 2.5 0.7 0.2
1 11.2 13.1 7.7 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 6.8 7.9 4.6 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 2.7 3.2 1.8 0.7 0.2
4 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.203
λ Away (xG) 1.167
Total xG 2.370
League avg home goals 1.194
League avg away goals 1.073
Mantova attack strength 1.107
Mantova defence strength 0.977
Modena attack strength 1.113
Modena defence strength 0.910
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 41 / 41