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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sat 27 Sep 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Danilo Martelli

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Draw

28%

Mantova

3.63

38%

Draw

2.62

34%

Frosinone

2.91

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.8%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

0 – 0

12.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.97

Mantova xG

Total xG

2.08

1.10

Frosinone xG

28%
38%
34%
MantovaDrawFrosinone

3.63

28%

Home win

2.62

38%

Draw

2.91

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

61%

Over 1.5

1.64

39%

Under 1.5

2.56

34%

Over 2.5

2.94

66%

Under 2.5

1.52

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.19

54%

BTTS No

1.84

Clean Sheet

33%

Mantova

3.02

38%

Frosinone

2.65

Win to Nil

9%

Mantova

10.97

13%

Frosinone

7.70

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.5 13.8 7.6 2.8 0.8 0.2
1 12.2 13.5 7.4 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 5.9 6.5 3.6 1.3 0.4 0.1
3 1.9 2.1 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.973
λ Away (xG) 1.105
Total xG 2.078
League avg home goals 1.282
League avg away goals 1.140
Mantova attack strength 1.059
Mantova defence strength 1.147
Frosinone attack strength 0.845
Frosinone defence strength 0.717
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 42 / 42