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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sat 21 Dec 2024

14:00

Venue

Stadio Danilo Martelli

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Mantova Win

42%

Mantova

2.40

38%

Draw

2.65

21%

Frosinone

4.84

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

18.2%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

16.8%

Draw

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.08

Mantova xG

Total xG

1.78

0.70

Frosinone xG

42%
38%
21%
MantovaDrawFrosinone

2.40

42%

Home win

2.65

38%

Draw

4.84

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

53%

Over 1.5

1.89

47%

Under 1.5

2.13

27%

Over 2.5

3.70

73%

Under 2.5

1.37

11%

Over 3.5

9.09

89%

Under 3.5

1.12

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

36%

BTTS Yes

2.77

64%

BTTS No

1.57

Clean Sheet

50%

Mantova

2.01

34%

Frosinone

2.96

Win to Nil

21%

Mantova

4.84

7%

Frosinone

14.33

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.8 11.7 4.1 1.0 0.2
1 18.2 12.7 4.5 1.0 0.2
2 9.9 6.9 2.4 0.6 0.1
3 3.6 2.5 0.9 0.2
4 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.085
λ Away (xG) 0.700
Total xG 1.785
League avg home goals 1.225
League avg away goals 1.083
Mantova attack strength 0.831
Mantova defence strength 0.973
Frosinone attack strength 0.664
Frosinone defence strength 1.066
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 17 / 17