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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sun 1 Mar 2026

16:15

Venue

Stadio Danilo Martelli

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Mantova Win

50%

Mantova

1.99

24%

Draw

4.13

25%

Carrarese

3.93

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.3%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

1 – 0

8.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.86

Mantova xG

Total xG

3.13

1.27

Carrarese xG

50%
24%
25%
MantovaDrawCarrarese

1.99

50%

Home win

4.13

24%

Draw

3.93

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

38%

Over 3.5

2.63

62%

Under 3.5

1.61

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.63

38%

BTTS No

2.60

Clean Sheet

28%

Mantova

3.57

16%

Carrarese

6.40

Win to Nil

14%

Mantova

7.10

4%

Carrarese

25.14

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.4 5.6 3.5 1.5 0.5 0.1
1 8.1 10.3 6.6 2.8 0.9 0.2
2 7.5 9.6 6.1 2.6 0.8 0.2
3 4.7 5.9 3.8 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 2.2 2.8 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.8 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.856
λ Away (xG) 1.273
Total xG 3.129
League avg home goals 1.252
League avg away goals 1.106
Mantova attack strength 1.084
Mantova defence strength 1.304
Carrarese attack strength 0.882
Carrarese defence strength 1.369
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64