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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sat 12 Dec 2026

14:00

Venue

Stadio Danilo Martelli

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Mantova Win

56%

Mantova

1.79

25%

Draw

3.96

19%

Benevento

5.29

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

2 – 0

10.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.80

Mantova xG

Total xG

2.77

0.97

Benevento xG

56%
25%
19%
MantovaDrawBenevento

1.79

56%

Home win

3.96

25%

Draw

5.29

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.89

47%

BTTS No

2.13

Clean Sheet

38%

Mantova

2.64

16%

Benevento

6.07

Win to Nil

21%

Mantova

4.73

3%

Benevento

32.07

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.2 6.1 2.9 1.0 0.2
1 11.3 10.9 5.3 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 10.2 9.8 4.8 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 6.1 5.9 2.9 0.9 0.2
4 2.8 2.7 1.3 0.4 0.1
5 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.803
λ Away (xG) 0.970
Total xG 2.773
League avg home goals 1.543
League avg away goals 1.071
Mantova attack strength 1.016
Mantova defence strength 1.066
Benevento attack strength 0.850
Benevento defence strength 1.150
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 0