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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Wed 18 Mar 2026

18:00

Venue

Stadio Benito Stirpe

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Frosinone Win

63%

Frosinone

1.58

23%

Draw

4.37

14%

Bari

7.21

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

11.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

11.4%

Home win

1 – 1

9.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.02

Frosinone xG

Total xG

2.87

0.85

Bari xG

63%
23%
14%
FrosinoneDrawBari

1.58

63%

Home win

4.37

23%

Draw

7.21

14%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.96

49%

BTTS No

2.04

Clean Sheet

43%

Frosinone

2.35

13%

Bari

7.52

Win to Nil

27%

Frosinone

3.72

2%

Bari

54.19

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.7 4.8 2.1 0.6 0.1
1 11.4 9.8 4.2 1.2 0.3
2 11.5 9.8 4.2 1.2 0.3
3 7.7 6.6 2.8 0.8 0.2
4 3.9 3.3 1.4 0.4 0.1
5 1.6 1.3 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.017
λ Away (xG) 0.855
Total xG 2.872
League avg home goals 1.331
League avg away goals 1.109
Frosinone attack strength 1.255
Frosinone defence strength 0.972
Bari attack strength 0.793
Bari defence strength 1.208
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 68 / 68