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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Sat 29 Nov 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio Carlo Castellani

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Empoli Win

47%

Empoli

2.12

30%

Draw

3.30

22%

Bari

4.45

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.9%

Home win

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.55

Empoli xG

Total xG

2.57

1.02

Bari xG

47%
30%
22%
EmpoliDrawBari

2.12

47%

Home win

3.30

30%

Draw

4.45

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.90

47%

BTTS No

2.11

Clean Sheet

36%

Empoli

2.76

21%

Bari

4.71

Win to Nil

17%

Empoli

5.86

5%

Bari

20.95

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.7 7.8 4.0 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 11.9 12.1 6.2 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 9.2 9.4 4.8 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 4.8 4.8 2.5 0.8 0.2
4 1.8 1.9 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.549
λ Away (xG) 1.017
Total xG 2.566
League avg home goals 1.330
League avg away goals 1.071
Empoli attack strength 0.926
Empoli defence strength 1.033
Bari attack strength 0.919
Bari defence strength 1.257
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 13 / 50