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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 10

Kick-off

Tue 28 Oct 2025

19:30

Venue

Stadio Dino Manuzzi

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Carrarese Win

29%

Cesena

3.43

34%

Draw

2.94

37%

Carrarese

2.72

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.4%

Away win

1 – 0

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.21

Cesena xG

Total xG

2.57

1.37

Carrarese xG

29%
34%
37%
CesenaDrawCarrarese

3.43

29%

Home win

2.94

34%

Draw

2.72

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.79

44%

BTTS No

2.27

Clean Sheet

25%

Cesena

3.92

30%

Carrarese

3.34

Win to Nil

7%

Cesena

13.44

11%

Carrarese

9.07

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.6 10.4 7.1 3.3 1.1 0.3
1 9.2 12.6 8.6 3.9 1.3 0.4
2 5.5 7.6 5.2 2.4 0.8 0.2
3 2.2 3.0 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.205
λ Away (xG) 1.367
Total xG 2.572
League avg home goals 1.328
League avg away goals 1.130
Cesena attack strength 0.876
Cesena defence strength 1.085
Carrarese attack strength 1.115
Carrarese defence strength 1.036
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 47 / 47