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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sat 25 Jan 2025

14:00

Venue

Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Draw

32%

Cesena

3.16

39%

Draw

2.58

30%

Bari

3.38

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

16.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

15.2%

Home win

0 – 1

14.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.92

Cesena xG

Total xG

1.80

0.88

Bari xG

32%
39%
30%
CesenaDrawBari

3.16

32%

Home win

2.58

39%

Draw

3.38

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

54%

Over 1.5

1.85

46%

Under 1.5

2.17

27%

Over 2.5

3.70

73%

Under 2.5

1.37

11%

Over 3.5

9.09

89%

Under 3.5

1.12

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

38%

BTTS Yes

2.63

62%

BTTS No

1.61

Clean Sheet

42%

Cesena

2.41

40%

Bari

2.50

Win to Nil

13%

Cesena

7.61

12%

Bari

8.46

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.6 14.6 6.4 1.9 0.4 0.1
1 15.2 13.4 5.9 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 7.0 6.1 2.7 0.8 0.2
3 2.1 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.1
4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.917
λ Away (xG) 0.879
Total xG 1.796
League avg home goals 1.215
League avg away goals 1.083
Cesena attack strength 0.951
Cesena defence strength 1.048
Bari attack strength 0.775
Bari defence strength 0.794
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 22 / 60