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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sun 14 Dec 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio dei Marmi

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Carrarese Win

59%

Carrarese

1.68

25%

Draw

3.94

15%

Virtus Entella

6.54

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.3%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.3%

Home win

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.73

Carrarese xG

Total xG

2.49

0.77

Virtus Entella xG

59%
25%
15%
CarrareseDrawVirtus Entella

1.68

59%

Home win

3.94

25%

Draw

6.54

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.22

55%

BTTS No

1.82

Clean Sheet

47%

Carrarese

2.15

18%

Virtus Entella

5.62

Win to Nil

28%

Carrarese

3.62

3%

Virtus Entella

36.77

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.3 6.3 2.4 0.6 0.1
1 14.3 10.9 4.2 1.1 0.2
2 12.3 9.4 3.6 0.9 0.2
3 7.1 5.4 2.1 0.5 0.1
4 3.1 2.3 0.9 0.2
5 1.1 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.726
λ Away (xG) 0.765
Total xG 2.491
League avg home goals 1.324
League avg away goals 1.052
Carrarese attack strength 0.970
Carrarese defence strength 1.036
Virtus Entella attack strength 0.702
Virtus Entella defence strength 1.344
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 15