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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Draw
36%
2.80
43%
2.34
22%
4.65
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 0
23.8%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
19.9%
Home win
0 – 1
14.2%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.84
Carrarese xG
Total xG
1.44
0.60
Spezia xG
CarrareseDrawSpezia
2.80
36%
Home win
2.34
43%
Draw
4.65
22%
Away win
Goals Markets
42%
Over 1.5
2.38
58%
Under 1.5
1.72
18%
Over 2.5
5.56
82%
Under 2.5
1.22
6%
Over 3.5
16.67
94%
Under 3.5
1.06
2%
Over 4.5
50.00
98%
Under 4.5
1.02
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
28%
BTTS Yes
3.53
72%
BTTS No
1.39
Clean Sheet
55%
1.82
43%
2.31
Win to Nil
20%
5.09
9%
10.75
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 23.8 | 14.2 | 4.3 | 0.9 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 19.9 | 11.9 | 3.6 | 0.7 | 0.1 | – |
| 2 | 8.3 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 0.3 | – | – |
| 3 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | – | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.838
λ Away (xG)
0.599
Total xG
1.437
League avg home goals
1.218
League avg away goals
1.057
Carrarese attack strength
0.864
Carrarese defence strength
0.669
Spezia attack strength
0.847
Spezia defence strength
0.797
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
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