Carrarese vs Salernitana – Predictions
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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Carrarese Win
44%
2.29
36%
2.76
20%
4.96
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
20.0%
Home win
Most likely
0 – 0
19.5%
Draw
1 – 1
12.2%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.03
Carrarese xG
Total xG
1.63
0.61
Salernitana xG
CarrareseDrawSalernitana
2.29
44%
Home win
2.76
36%
Draw
4.96
20%
Away win
Goals Markets
49%
Over 1.5
2.04
51%
Under 1.5
1.96
23%
Over 2.5
4.35
77%
Under 2.5
1.30
8%
Over 3.5
12.50
92%
Under 3.5
1.09
3%
Over 4.5
33.33
97%
Under 4.5
1.03
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
30%
BTTS Yes
3.29
70%
BTTS No
1.44
Clean Sheet
54%
1.84
36%
2.79
Win to Nil
24%
4.21
7%
13.84
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 19.5 | 11.9 | 3.6 | 0.7 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 20.0 | 12.2 | 3.7 | 0.8 | 0.1 | – |
| 2 | 10.3 | 6.2 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 3 | 3.5 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 4 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | – | – | – |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.026
λ Away (xG)
0.608
Total xG
1.634
League avg home goals
1.223
League avg away goals
1.095
Carrarese attack strength
0.810
Carrarese defence strength
1.043
Salernitana attack strength
0.532
Salernitana defence strength
1.036
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
25 / 25