Carrarese vs Palermo – Predictions
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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Draw
31%
3.21
39%
2.58
30%
3.32
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 0
16.3%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
14.9%
Home win
0 – 1
14.6%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.92
Carrarese xG
Total xG
1.81
0.90
Palermo xG
CarrareseDrawPalermo
3.21
31%
Home win
2.58
39%
Draw
3.32
30%
Away win
Goals Markets
54%
Over 1.5
1.85
46%
Under 1.5
2.17
27%
Over 2.5
3.70
73%
Under 2.5
1.37
11%
Over 3.5
9.09
89%
Under 3.5
1.12
4%
Over 4.5
25.00
96%
Under 4.5
1.04
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
39%
BTTS Yes
2.59
61%
BTTS No
1.63
Clean Sheet
41%
2.45
40%
2.50
Win to Nil
13%
7.87
12%
8.32
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 16.3 | 14.6 | 6.6 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 14.9 | 13.4 | 6.0 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 6.9 | 6.1 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.917
λ Away (xG)
0.897
Total xG
1.814
League avg home goals
1.235
League avg away goals
1.105
Carrarese attack strength
0.796
Carrarese defence strength
0.782
Palermo attack strength
1.039
Palermo defence strength
0.933
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
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