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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sat 21 Feb 2026

18:30

Venue

Stadio dei Marmi

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Carrarese Win

42%

Carrarese

2.38

33%

Draw

3.06

25%

Monza

3.97

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.8%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

15.4%

Draw

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.09

Carrarese xG

Total xG

1.87

0.78

Monza xG

42%
33%
25%
CarrareseDrawMonza

2.38

42%

Home win

3.06

33%

Draw

3.97

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

56%

Over 1.5

1.79

44%

Under 1.5

2.27

29%

Over 2.5

3.45

71%

Under 2.5

1.41

12%

Over 3.5

8.33

88%

Under 3.5

1.14

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

37%

BTTS Yes

2.74

63%

BTTS No

1.58

Clean Sheet

46%

Carrarese

2.18

34%

Monza

2.98

Win to Nil

19%

Carrarese

5.18

8%

Monza

11.83

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.4 12.0 4.7 1.2 0.2
1 16.8 13.1 5.1 1.3 0.3
2 9.2 7.2 2.8 0.7 0.1
3 3.4 2.6 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.093
λ Away (xG) 0.778
Total xG 1.871
League avg home goals 1.280
League avg away goals 1.099
Carrarese attack strength 0.970
Carrarese defence strength 0.756
Monza attack strength 0.937
Monza defence strength 0.880
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 25