Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Wed 1 Oct 2025

19:30

Venue

Stadio dei Marmi

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Modena Win

24%

Carrarese

4.21

31%

Draw

3.27

46%

Modena

2.19

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.5%

Away win

0 – 1

9.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.21

Carrarese xG

Total xG

2.92

1.71

Modena xG

24%
31%
46%
CarrareseDrawModena

4.21

24%

Home win

3.27

31%

Draw

2.19

46%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.65

39%

BTTS No

2.55

Clean Sheet

18%

Carrarese

5.50

30%

Modena

3.35

Win to Nil

4%

Carrarese

23.13

14%

Modena

7.35

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.4 9.2 7.9 4.5 1.9 0.7
1 6.6 11.2 9.5 5.4 2.3 0.8
2 4.0 6.8 5.8 3.3 1.4 0.5
3 1.6 2.7 2.3 1.3 0.6 0.2
4 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.210
λ Away (xG) 1.705
Total xG 2.915
League avg home goals 1.324
League avg away goals 1.169
Carrarese attack strength 1.049
Carrarese defence strength 1.217
Modena attack strength 1.198
Modena defence strength 0.871
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 43 / 43