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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sat 1 Mar 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio dei Marmi

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cremonese Win

23%

Carrarese

4.37

31%

Draw

3.20

46%

Cremonese

2.18

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.7%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

0 – 0

9.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.93

Carrarese xG

Total xG

2.32

1.40

Cremonese xG

23%
31%
46%
CarrareseDrawCremonese

4.37

23%

Home win

3.20

31%

Draw

2.18

46%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.11

53%

BTTS No

1.90

Clean Sheet

25%

Carrarese

4.05

40%

Cremonese

2.52

Win to Nil

6%

Carrarese

17.70

18%

Cremonese

5.50

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.8 13.7 9.6 4.5 1.6 0.4
1 9.1 12.7 8.9 4.1 1.4 0.4
2 4.2 5.9 4.1 1.9 0.7 0.2
3 1.3 1.8 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1
4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.925
λ Away (xG) 1.398
Total xG 2.323
League avg home goals 1.209
League avg away goals 1.101
Carrarese attack strength 0.947
Carrarese defence strength 1.159
Cremonese attack strength 1.095
Cremonese defence strength 0.808
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 27 / 65