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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sat 10 Jan 2026

14:00

Venue

Stadio dei Marmi

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Carrarese Win

55%

Carrarese

1.80

28%

Draw

3.54

16%

Bari

6.12

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.3%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

12.1%

Home win

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.58

Carrarese xG

Total xG

2.33

0.76

Bari xG

55%
28%
16%
CarrareseDrawBari

1.80

55%

Home win

3.54

28%

Draw

6.12

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.29

56%

BTTS No

1.77

Clean Sheet

47%

Carrarese

2.13

21%

Bari

4.84

Win to Nil

26%

Carrarese

3.84

3%

Bari

29.58

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.7 7.3 2.8 0.7 0.1
1 15.3 11.6 4.4 1.1 0.2
2 12.1 9.1 3.4 0.9 0.2
3 6.3 4.8 1.8 0.5 0.1
4 2.5 1.9 0.7 0.2
5 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.576
λ Away (xG) 0.756
Total xG 2.332
League avg home goals 1.313
League avg away goals 1.037
Carrarese attack strength 0.966
Carrarese defence strength 0.978
Bari attack strength 0.745
Bari defence strength 1.243
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 56