Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sun 21 Sep 2025

14:00

Venue

Stadio dei Marmi

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Carrarese Win

43%

Carrarese

2.33

38%

Draw

2.64

19%

Avellino

5.20

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

17.1%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.3%

Draw

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.20

Carrarese xG

Total xG

1.95

0.75

Avellino xG

43%
38%
19%
CarrareseDrawAvellino

2.33

43%

Home win

2.64

38%

Draw

5.20

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

58%

Over 1.5

1.72

42%

Under 1.5

2.38

31%

Over 2.5

3.23

69%

Under 2.5

1.45

13%

Over 3.5

7.69

87%

Under 3.5

1.15

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.46

59%

BTTS No

1.68

Clean Sheet

47%

Carrarese

2.11

30%

Avellino

3.32

Win to Nil

20%

Carrarese

4.93

6%

Avellino

17.26

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.3 10.7 4.0 1.0 0.2
1 17.1 12.8 4.8 1.2 0.2
2 10.3 7.7 2.9 0.7 0.1
3 4.1 3.1 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.2 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.199
λ Away (xG) 0.748
Total xG 1.947
League avg home goals 1.190
League avg away goals 1.101
Carrarese attack strength 0.895
Carrarese defence strength 0.907
Avellino attack strength 0.749
Avellino defence strength 1.126
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 41 / 3