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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sat 21 Dec 2024

14:00

Venue

Stadio Comunale San Nicola

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bari Win

48%

Bari

2.06

32%

Draw

3.14

20%

Sudtirol

5.09

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

2 – 0

10.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.47

Bari xG

Total xG

2.35

0.88

Sudtirol xG

48%
32%
20%
BariDrawSudtirol

2.06

48%

Home win

3.14

32%

Draw

5.09

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.10

52%

BTTS No

1.91

Clean Sheet

42%

Bari

2.40

23%

Sudtirol

4.36

Win to Nil

20%

Bari

4.95

5%

Sudtirol

22.18

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.6 8.4 3.7 1.1 0.2
1 14.1 12.3 5.4 1.6 0.3 0.1
2 10.4 9.1 4.0 1.2 0.3
3 5.1 4.4 1.9 0.6 0.1
4 1.9 1.6 0.7 0.2
5 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.472
λ Away (xG) 0.875
Total xG 2.347
League avg home goals 1.225
League avg away goals 1.083
Bari attack strength 0.998
Bari defence strength 0.993
Sudtirol attack strength 0.813
Sudtirol defence strength 1.205
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 55