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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sat 14 Mar 2026

14:00

Venue

Stadio San Nicola

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bari Win

35%

Bari

2.82

33%

Draw

3.07

32%

Reggiana

3.13

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.2%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.0%

Draw

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.02

Bari xG

Total xG

1.97

0.95

Reggiana xG

35%
33%
32%
BariDrawReggiana

2.82

35%

Home win

3.07

33%

Draw

3.13

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

59%

Over 1.5

1.69

41%

Under 1.5

2.44

31%

Over 2.5

3.23

69%

Under 2.5

1.45

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.51

60%

BTTS No

1.66

Clean Sheet

39%

Bari

2.59

36%

Reggiana

2.76

Win to Nil

14%

Bari

7.31

12%

Reggiana

8.65

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.0 13.3 6.3 2.0 0.5 0.1
1 14.2 13.5 6.4 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 7.2 6.9 3.3 1.0 0.2
3 2.4 2.3 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.017
λ Away (xG) 0.951
Total xG 1.968
League avg home goals 1.317
League avg away goals 1.121
Bari attack strength 0.768
Bari defence strength 1.109
Reggiana attack strength 0.765
Reggiana defence strength 1.005
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67