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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 13

Kick-off

Sat 22 Nov 2025

18:30

Venue

Stadio San Nicola

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Draw

34%

Bari

2.98

37%

Draw

2.71

30%

Frosinone

3.38

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

0 – 0

12.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.08

Bari xG

Total xG

2.08

1.00

Frosinone xG

34%
37%
30%
BariDrawFrosinone

2.98

34%

Home win

2.71

37%

Draw

3.38

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

61%

Over 1.5

1.64

39%

Under 1.5

2.56

34%

Over 2.5

2.94

66%

Under 2.5

1.52

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.22

55%

BTTS No

1.82

Clean Sheet

37%

Bari

2.72

34%

Frosinone

2.94

Win to Nil

12%

Bari

8.11

10%

Frosinone

9.94

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.5 12.5 6.3 2.1 0.5 0.1
1 13.5 13.5 6.8 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 7.3 7.3 3.6 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 2.6 2.6 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.078
λ Away (xG) 1.001
Total xG 2.079
League avg home goals 1.316
League avg away goals 1.095
Bari attack strength 0.989
Bari defence strength 0.811
Frosinone attack strength 1.128
Frosinone defence strength 0.829
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 50