Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Wed 4 Mar 2026

19:00

Venue

Stadio San Nicola

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Empoli Win

33%

Bari

3.04

31%

Draw

3.26

36%

Empoli

2.74

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.7%

Away win

1 – 0

11.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.12

Bari xG

Total xG

2.32

1.20

Empoli xG

33%
31%
36%
BariDrawEmpoli

3.04

33%

Home win

3.26

31%

Draw

2.74

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.07

52%

BTTS No

1.94

Clean Sheet

30%

Bari

3.31

32%

Empoli

3.08

Win to Nil

10%

Bari

10.09

12%

Empoli

8.45

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.8 11.7 7.0 2.8 0.8 0.2
1 11.0 13.2 7.9 3.2 0.9 0.2
2 6.2 7.4 4.4 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 2.3 2.8 1.7 0.7 0.2
4 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.125
λ Away (xG) 1.198
Total xG 2.323
League avg home goals 1.278
League avg away goals 1.146
Bari attack strength 0.720
Bari defence strength 1.117
Empoli attack strength 0.936
Empoli defence strength 1.222
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 27