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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sun 22 Mar 2026

14:00

Venue

Stadio San Nicola

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bari Win

45%

Bari

2.24

29%

Draw

3.47

27%

Carrarese

3.76

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.3%

Home win

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.48

Bari xG

Total xG

2.58

1.09

Carrarese xG

45%
29%
27%
BariDrawCarrarese

2.24

45%

Home win

3.47

29%

Draw

3.76

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.89

47%

BTTS No

2.12

Clean Sheet

33%

Bari

2.99

23%

Carrarese

4.40

Win to Nil

15%

Bari

6.70

6%

Carrarese

16.54

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.6 8.3 4.6 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 11.3 12.3 6.8 2.5 0.7 0.1
2 8.3 9.1 5.0 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 4.1 4.5 2.5 0.9 0.2 0.1
4 1.5 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.481
λ Away (xG) 1.095
Total xG 2.576
League avg home goals 1.365
League avg away goals 1.093
Bari attack strength 0.925
Bari defence strength 1.117
Carrarese attack strength 0.897
Carrarese defence strength 1.173
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 69