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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sat 18 Jan 2025

16:15

Venue

Stadio Comunale San Nicola

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bari Win

41%

Bari

2.45

38%

Draw

2.67

22%

Brescia

4.60

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

17.1%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

15.4%

Draw

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.11

Bari xG

Total xG

1.87

0.76

Brescia xG

41%
38%
22%
BariDrawBrescia

2.45

41%

Home win

2.67

38%

Draw

4.60

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

56%

Over 1.5

1.79

44%

Under 1.5

2.27

29%

Over 2.5

3.45

71%

Under 2.5

1.41

12%

Over 3.5

8.33

88%

Under 3.5

1.14

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.58

61%

BTTS No

1.63

Clean Sheet

47%

Bari

2.13

33%

Brescia

3.05

Win to Nil

19%

Bari

5.23

7%

Brescia

14.02

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.4 11.7 4.4 1.1 0.2
1 17.1 13.0 4.9 1.2 0.2
2 9.5 7.2 2.7 0.7 0.1
3 3.5 2.7 1.0 0.3
4 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.114
λ Away (xG) 0.758
Total xG 1.872
League avg home goals 1.202
League avg away goals 1.045
Bari attack strength 1.000
Bari defence strength 0.947
Brescia attack strength 0.766
Brescia defence strength 0.926
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59