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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Wed 18 Mar 2026

19:00

Venue

Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sudtirol Win

23%

Avellino

4.36

31%

Draw

3.25

46%

Sudtirol

2.16

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.3%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

0 – 0

10.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.89

Avellino xG

Total xG

2.25

1.36

Sudtirol xG

23%
31%
46%
AvellinoDrawSudtirol

4.36

23%

Home win

3.25

31%

Draw

2.16

46%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.20

55%

BTTS No

1.83

Clean Sheet

26%

Avellino

3.91

41%

Sudtirol

2.44

Win to Nil

6%

Avellino

17.02

19%

Sudtirol

5.26

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.5 14.3 9.8 4.4 1.5 0.4
1 9.4 12.7 8.7 3.9 1.3 0.4
2 4.2 5.7 3.9 1.8 0.6 0.2
3 1.2 1.7 1.1 0.5 0.2
4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1
5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.890
λ Away (xG) 1.363
Total xG 2.253
League avg home goals 1.331
League avg away goals 1.110
Avellino attack strength 0.802
Avellino defence strength 1.211
Sudtirol attack strength 1.014
Sudtirol defence strength 0.834
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 30 / 68