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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sat 16 Jan 2027

14:00

Venue

Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca

Competition

Serie B

Italy

Status

NS

Most Likely Outcome

Ascoli Win

39%

Ascoli

2.54

29%

Draw

3.46

32%

Sudtirol

3.16

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.3%

Home win

0 – 1

9.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.38

Ascoli xG

Total xG

2.60

1.22

Sudtirol xG

39%
29%
32%
AscoliDrawSudtirol

2.54

39%

Home win

3.46

29%

Draw

3.16

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.85

46%

BTTS No

2.18

Clean Sheet

30%

Ascoli

3.38

25%

Sudtirol

3.98

Win to Nil

12%

Ascoli

8.57

8%

Sudtirol

12.57

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.4 9.0 5.5 2.2 0.7 0.2
1 10.3 12.5 7.6 3.1 0.9 0.2
2 7.1 8.6 5.3 2.1 0.6 0.2
3 3.3 4.0 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.1 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.382
λ Away (xG) 1.217
Total xG 2.599
League avg home goals 1.543
League avg away goals 1.071
Ascoli attack strength 0.850
Ascoli defence strength 1.150
Sudtirol attack strength 0.988
Sudtirol defence strength 1.053
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 0 / 38