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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 36

Kick-off

Mon 12 May 2025

17:30

Venue

Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fiorentina Win

22%

Venezia

4.60

33%

Draw

3.05

45%

Fiorentina

2.20

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

18.0%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

15.7%

Draw

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.70

Venezia xG

Total xG

1.85

1.15

Fiorentina xG

22%
33%
45%
VeneziaDrawFiorentina

4.60

22%

Home win

3.05

33%

Draw

2.20

45%

Away win

Goals Markets

55%

Over 1.5

1.82

45%

Under 1.5

2.22

28%

Over 2.5

3.57

72%

Under 2.5

1.39

12%

Over 3.5

8.33

88%

Under 3.5

1.14

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

35%

BTTS Yes

2.83

65%

BTTS No

1.55

Clean Sheet

32%

Venezia

3.15

49%

Fiorentina

2.02

Win to Nil

7%

Venezia

14.50

22%

Fiorentina

4.45

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.7 18.0 10.3 4.0 1.1 0.3
1 11.1 12.7 7.3 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 3.9 4.5 2.6 1.0 0.3 0.1
3 0.9 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1
4 0.2 0.2 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.705
λ Away (xG) 1.148
Total xG 1.853
League avg home goals 1.182
League avg away goals 1.140
Venezia attack strength 0.598
Venezia defence strength 0.959
Fiorentina attack strength 1.050
Fiorentina defence strength 0.997
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 35 / 73