Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sun 22 Dec 2024

14:00

Venue

Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cagliari Win

33%

Venezia

3.02

26%

Draw

3.81

41%

Cagliari

2.46

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.2%

Away win

1 – 0

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.22

Venezia xG

Total xG

2.60

1.38

Cagliari xG

33%
26%
41%
VeneziaDrawCagliari

3.02

33%

Home win

3.81

26%

Draw

2.46

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.89

47%

BTTS No

2.12

Clean Sheet

25%

Venezia

3.99

29%

Cagliari

3.39

Win to Nil

8%

Venezia

12.06

12%

Cagliari

8.34

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.4 10.2 7.1 3.3 1.1 0.3
1 9.0 12.5 8.6 4.0 1.4 0.4
2 5.5 7.6 5.3 2.4 0.8 0.2
3 2.2 3.1 2.1 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 0.7 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.221
λ Away (xG) 1.383
Total xG 2.604
League avg home goals 1.332
League avg away goals 1.325
Venezia attack strength 0.834
Venezia defence strength 1.252
Cagliari attack strength 0.834
Cagliari defence strength 1.099
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 16 / 54