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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sun 9 Feb 2025

11:30

Venue

Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AS Roma Win

31%

Venezia

3.27

34%

Draw

2.98

36%

AS Roma

2.79

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.1%

Away win

1 – 0

10.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.17

Venezia xG

Total xG

2.44

1.27

AS Roma xG

31%
34%
36%
VeneziaDrawAS Roma

3.27

31%

Home win

2.98

34%

Draw

2.79

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.90

47%

BTTS No

2.11

Clean Sheet

28%

Venezia

3.58

31%

AS Roma

3.21

Win to Nil

9%

Venezia

11.70

11%

AS Roma

8.95

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.7 11.1 7.1 3.0 1.0 0.2
1 10.2 12.9 8.3 3.5 1.1 0.3
2 5.9 7.5 4.8 2.0 0.7 0.2
3 2.3 2.9 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.7 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.166
λ Away (xG) 1.275
Total xG 2.441
League avg home goals 1.364
League avg away goals 1.333
Venezia attack strength 0.774
Venezia defence strength 1.042
AS Roma attack strength 0.918
AS Roma defence strength 1.105
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 23 / 61