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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 36

Kick-off

Sun 11 May 2025

11:30

Venue

Bluenergy Stadium

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Udinese Win

51%

Udinese

1.94

27%

Draw

3.69

21%

Monza

4.66

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

2 – 0

10.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.53

Udinese xG

Total xG

2.43

0.90

Monza xG

51%
27%
21%
UdineseDrawMonza

1.94

51%

Home win

3.69

27%

Draw

4.66

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.12

53%

BTTS No

1.89

Clean Sheet

41%

Udinese

2.46

22%

Monza

4.63

Win to Nil

21%

Udinese

4.78

5%

Monza

21.58

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.8 7.9 3.6 1.1 0.2
1 13.5 12.1 5.4 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 10.3 9.3 4.2 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 5.3 4.7 2.1 0.6 0.1
4 2.0 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.532
λ Away (xG) 0.899
Total xG 2.431
League avg home goals 1.187
League avg away goals 1.118
Udinese attack strength 0.839
Udinese defence strength 1.114
Monza attack strength 0.721
Monza defence strength 1.538
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 73 / 73