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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Mon 28 Apr 2025

17:30

Venue

Bluenergy Stadium

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Bologna Win

34%

Udinese

2.94

28%

Draw

3.54

38%

Bologna

2.65

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.7%

Away win

1 – 0

10.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.20

Udinese xG

Total xG

2.48

1.28

Bologna xG

34%
28%
38%
UdineseDrawBologna

2.94

34%

Home win

3.54

28%

Draw

2.65

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.96

49%

BTTS No

2.04

Clean Sheet

28%

Udinese

3.59

30%

Bologna

3.32

Win to Nil

9%

Udinese

10.54

11%

Bologna

8.81

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.4 10.7 6.8 2.9 0.9 0.2
1 10.1 12.9 8.2 3.5 1.1 0.3
2 6.0 7.7 4.9 2.1 0.7 0.2
3 2.4 3.1 2.0 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.200
λ Away (xG) 1.277
Total xG 2.477
League avg home goals 1.215
League avg away goals 1.114
Udinese attack strength 0.919
Udinese defence strength 1.228
Bologna attack strength 0.934
Bologna defence strength 1.075
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 71 / 71