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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sat 21 Dec 2024

14:00

Venue

Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino

Competition

Serie A

Italy

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Torino Win

38%

Torino

2.66

27%

Draw

3.73

36%

Bologna

2.81

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.3%

Home win

0 – 1

9.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.29

Torino xG

Total xG

2.53

1.24

Bologna xG

38%
27%
36%
TorinoDrawBologna

2.66

38%

Home win

3.73

27%

Draw

2.81

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.94

49%

BTTS No

2.06

Clean Sheet

29%

Torino

3.46

28%

Bologna

3.62

Win to Nil

11%

Torino

9.20

10%

Bologna

10.18

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.0 9.9 6.2 2.5 0.8 0.2
1 10.3 12.7 7.9 3.3 1.0 0.3
2 6.6 8.2 5.1 2.1 0.7 0.2
3 2.8 3.5 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.9 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.286
λ Away (xG) 1.242
Total xG 2.528
League avg home goals 1.318
League avg away goals 1.323
Torino attack strength 0.804
Torino defence strength 0.842
Bologna attack strength 1.115
Bologna defence strength 1.214
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 53